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John Admin

Pro's Strategy 01/02/2026

Preview Selections


Leopardstown 12.40

££2.25 Each Way Onefortheditch 25/1

££2.25 Each Way Aruntothequeen 33/1

£1.00 Win Bet May Call You Back 8/1

1/5 Odds

1-2-3-4-5

Market Rasen 12.47

Wind Your Neck In 9/4-5/2

Win Bet


Market Rasen 12.47

£7.00 Win Bet We Got Your Back 5/1-11/2

£3.00 Win Bet Wind Your Neck In 5/2-11/4


Leopardstown 1.40

£7.00 Win Bet King Rasko Grey 11/4

£3.00 Win Talk The Talk 11/4-5/2


Leopardstown 2.10

£9.00 Win Bet Majborough 7/4-2/1

£1.00 Win Bet Found A Fifty 13/2


Leopardstown 2.45

£7.50 Win Bet Waterford Whispers 7/1-15/2

£1.25 Win Bet Kim Roque 13/2-7/1

£1.00 Win Bet Buachaillbocht 10/1

Musselburgh 3.05

£8.00 Win Bet Inis Oirr 10/1-11/1

£2.00 Win Bet Forged Well 4/1-9/2

1/5 Odds

1-2-3


Leopardstown 3.20

Lossiemouth 10/11-1/1

Win Bet

Leopardstown 3.52

Bunting 7/1-15/2

Each Way

1/5 Odds

1-2-3-4-5


Yesterday's Summary


Limited to just 6 saturday races

With a couple of abandonments

Message finished W L P W L L

Important to open with a winner

Crackerjacque managed that

There were 3 races beating us

Came nowhere close in those

The highlight was the best bet

Star Of Guiting a superb winner

More than enough to win the day

Unstaked yes which was a shame

But overall we were clear winners


PROFILES & PREVIEWS

Leopardstown 12.40


5/1 May Call You Back, 11/2 Adrienne, 6/1 Siog Geal

13/2 Cousin Kate, 8/1 Shoda, 10/1 Carried With Love

10/1 True Testimony, 12/1 Galileo Dame, 14/1 Arctic Flame

14/1 Blue Mosque, 16/1 Aruntothequeen, Dameauscottlestown

20/1 Onefortheditch, Tir Og, 25/1 Maxios Prime

33/1 Disco Dancer, Kimy, 40/1 Whimsy

50/1 Tequila Talkin'.

Mares Handicap Hurdle


Listed race


17 Past renewals

8 Since the race was upgraded


Horses aged 5

Have won this race 3 times

They were all lightweights

With no more than 10st 3lbs

Opposing these 5 year olds

Who have much more weight


GALILEO DAME

CARRIED WITH LOVE

COUSIN KATE

TIR OG

SHODA


ADRIENNE is only a 4yo

No 4yo has won this race


Go back to 2008

Leopardstown

Handicap Hurdles

Any class

Any distance

No 4 year old has won

Between January and November

ADRIENNE would be the first

All 17 previous winners

Raced within the previous 79 days

Opposing these absent longer


DISCO DANCER

ARCTIC FLAME


Opposing the most exposed


WHIMSY is very exposed

DISCO DANCER is as well


DAMEAUSCOTTLESTOWN is out

He is the least experienced horse


The following horses

Look underraced this season


CARRIED WITH LOVE

TEQUILA TALKIN

BLUE MOSQUE

MAXIOIS PRIME

SIOG GEAL is a 7 year old

Tough weight with 11st 8lbs

With a 50 day absence too


Those with 11st 6lbs or more

Have a 0-32 record so far

SIOG GEAL fails this statistic


Horses absent over 35 days

Carrying 11st or more weight

Have a 0-42 record in this too

The following horses all fail this


SIOG GEAL

GALILEO DAME

DOSCO DANCER

CARRIED WITH LOVE

TRUE TESTIMONY a 7yo

Tries to exploit a good mark

Now she is back over hurdles

Bit obvious but non convinced

With her going up 2f in trip

She is an optional saver


MAY CALL YOU BACK an 8yo

Last seen chasing 7 weeks ago

The 2017-2021 winners did this


ARUNTOTHEQUEEN is 33/1

That may well be a big price

Don't like the drop in distance

But on heavy it may not matter

ONEFORTHEDITCH

Statistically too exposed

But a fit lightweight on heavy

Battlehardened and ready

And available at a huge price

Selection

£2.25 Each Way ONEFORTHEDITCH 25/1

£2.25 Each Way ARUNTOTHEQUEEN 33/1


£1.00 Win Bet MAY CALL YOU BACK 8/1


1/5 Odds


1-2-3-4-5



Market Rasen 12.47


9/4 Wind Your Neck In, 9/2 Glenmuick

5/1 We Got Your Back, 5/1 Cooler Than Me

13/2 Saachi, 10/1 Annie Nail, 14/1 Kit The Christian

25/1 De Deli Counter, 25/1 River Rider.


Novice Handicap Hurdle 2m 4f


Horses rated 0-95


GLENMUIK is topweight


Quite raw with 3 hurdle runs

Go back to 2003

January to April

Novice Handicap Hurdles

Run over 2m 3f and more

Horses aged 5

Under 4 hurdle races

Coming from a 2m or shorter

From a non graded race

Carrying 11st 10lbs or more

Return a 0-34 record in them


GLENMUIK fails this angle


SAACHI also fails this angle

He may not have the stamina


ANNIE NAIL looks wrong


KIT THE CHRISTIAN is too raw

None of the outsiders look safe


COOLER THAN ME is raw

Has shown nothing in novices

Just can not see enough


Go back to 2003

Novice Handicap Hurdles

Run over 2m 2f and more

Horses aged 8 or older

Coming from 2m races

Under 4 lifetime runs

Return a 0-112 record

COOLER THAN ME fails this



RIVER RIDER


Has been a big price gamble

Despite pulling up last time

WIND YOUR NECK IN


Clearly has the ability

But very exposed for a novice

He has 37 career starts

Already 10 over hurdles

But he is fit and running well

He faces some weak rivals

Fully effective at this track

A clear choice as the saver


WE GOT YOUR BACK an 8yo

He has a very unusual profile

For a Novice H'Cap hurdle

Coming from a H'cap chase

But some have won like him

He is fit and very consistent

And placed in a race he can win



Selection


£7.00 Win Bet WE GOT YOUR BACK 5/1-11/2


£3.00 Win Bet WIND YOUR NECK IN 5/2-11/4



Leopardstown 1.40


9/4 Talk The Talk, 5/2 King Rasko Grey

3/1 Ballyfad, 7/1 The Reverend, 16/1 Davy Crockett

16/1 Starting Fifteen, 20/1 Blake, Le Divin Enfant

25/1 Koktail Brut, 33/1 Mister Pessimistic

40/1 Switch From Diesel, 100/1 Tyson Fury.


2m Novice Hurdle


Grade 1


Willie Mullins runs 4 horses

Stable won the last 7 renewals

Yet Joseph trains the favourite


TALK THE TALK


12/1 for the Supreme Novice

He is coming here off a fall

Time to see how good he is


THE REVEREND is respected

But just the 1 run in 148 days

And he is not a very big horse


LE DIVIN ENFANT is opposed

He looks the stables 3rd string


BLAKE missed the shortlist


Going back in the past

Experience usually won this

But that has now changed


These recent winners

2021 2022 2024 2024

All had just 1 hurdle race

So do the following pair


KING RASKO GREY


BALLYFAD


Both of these horses

Prominent in Ante Post lists

For the Supreme and Turners


They both cost twice as much

And the favourite Talk The Talk


TALK THE TALK could still win

But may not improve as much

Joseph will want a clean round

And it does bother me a little

He may be officially a 5 year old

But he's actually 4 years 10 months


Going to split stake

KING RASKO GREY appealed most


Toss of the coin for the saver bet


Selection


£7.00 Win Bet KING RASKO GREY 11/4


£3.00 Win TALK THE TALK 11/4-5/2



Leopardstown 2.10


15/8 Majborough, 2/1 Marine Nationale

3/1 Solness 8/1 Energumene, 12/1 Found A Fifty

66/1 Senecia.


Dublin Chase 2m 1f

Grade 1 race


Not in my comfort zone here


Should involve just 5 horses


ENERGUMENE is a 12yo


Go back to 2006

Every Grade 1 chase

Run over 2m 4f or shorter

Horses aged 11 or more

Absent 7 or more weeks

Have a 0-24 record in them

ENERGUMENE fails this


FOUND A FIFTY is a 9yo

Much more exposed than most

Not first choice well beaten last time


SOLNESS won this last year

MARINE NATIONAL was 2nd

Both have obvious chances

Welsh National day 2025

The front 3 all met each other

In a Grade 1 at Leopardstown


SOLNESS won that race


MARINE NATIONAL was 2nd


MAJBOROUGH finished 3rd


It was a slowly run race

Any of the three could win


FOUND A FIFTY the fourth

Can not be rule out either


Champion Chase betting


MARINE NATIONAL 7/4

MAJBOROUGH 4/1

SOLNESS is 20/1

FOUND A FIFTY 33/1


SOLNESS has 20 chase runs

Far more than any past winner


Prefer the less exposed types


There are no 7 year olds today

And they are the best age in this


MARINE NATIONAL is a 9yo


MAJBOROUGH is a 6 year old


Do we go young or older here


Only 2 horses aged 6

Have ever ran in this race

They finished 2nd and 3rd


Just like Majborough

They both had 6 chase runs


Some question his jumping

Not so bothered about that

He's had some big excuses

For the defeats he suffered


Odds on in last years Arkle

He was far too experienced


He has 2 runs this season


MARINE NATIONAL has 1

He has no form on heavy


MAJBOROUGH


When he lost at Leopardstown

May have been on the bounce

He may like this ground more

So going to trust in WP Mullins


Little room for a saver bet

But just a £1 saver is affordable

Don't fancy the saver that much

But a big price in a small field

And anything can happen in this


Selection


£9.00 Win Bet MAJBOROUGH 7/4-2/1


£1.00 Win Bet FOUND A FIFTY 13/2


Leopardstown 2.45


13/2 Kim Roque, 7/1 Kinturk Kalanisi

7/1 O'Moore Park 8/1 Ballybawn Belter, 9/1 Ile Atlantique

10/1 Buachaillbocht 12/1 Backmersackme, 14/1 Croke Park

14/1 Win Some Lose Some, 14/1 Waterford Whispers

18/1 Thecompanysergeant, 20/1 Dee Capo, Uncle Pat

22/1 Harry Des Ongrais, 22/1 Prends Garde A Toi

22/1 You Oughta Know, 25/1 A Wave Of The Sea

25/1 Blizzard Of Oz, 25/1 Dreal Deal, 25/1 Sa Majeste

28/1 Pride Of Place, 33/1 Chosen Witness

33/1 Where's My Jet.

Handicap Chase 2m 5f


15 Past Renewals


Clear evidence suggests


Lightly raced lightweights


Are the sensible profiles


Go back to 2016

Horses with 11st 3lbs or more

Have a 0-30 record in this race

The following horses fail this


HARRY DES ONGRAIS

BLIZZARD OF OZ

ILE ATLANTIQUE

DEE CAPO

CROKE PARK


Past winners

Had these chase runs

3 3 4 8 7 5 5 6 4 10 9 10 4 10


Horses with over 10 chases

Have a 0-89 record in this

The following all fail this


A WAVE TO THE SEA

DREAL DEAL

BALLYBAWN BELTER

THECOMPANYSERGEANT


No horse has won this

With just 1 run in 12 weeks

Coming from under 3 miles

Running in the last 2 months

All 28 that tried were beaten

The following all fail this


CHOSEN WITNESS

BACKMERSACKME


WIN SOME LOSE SOME is out

Coming up 5f from a 2m race

WHERES MY JET lacks positives

PRIDE OF PLACE is off too long


Some of these

Did not do enough last time


SA MAJESTE

PRENDS GARDE A TOI

YOU OUGHTA KNOW


Willie Mulllins

Has a 0-37 record in this race

Don't fancy any of his runners

This leaves 4 horses

WATERFORD WHISPERS


KINTURK KALANISI


KIM ROQUE


BUACHAILLBOCHT

Hard to trim this down

Going to take some luck here


KINTURK KALANISI misses out

Just 1 run in 9 months

Highest weight of the shortlist


Split staking the others


BUACHAILLBOCHT shades it


Opposed him on last 2 runs

On fitness and stamina grounds


Selection


£7.50 Win Bet WATERFORD WHISPERS 7/1-15/2


£1.25 Win Bet KIM ROQUE 13/2-7/1


£1.00 Win Bet BUACHAILLBOCHT 10/1



Musselburgh 3.05


5/2 Rock My Way, 9/2 Grozni, 9/2 Transmission

5/1 Forged Well, 8/1 Magna Sam, 10/1 Inis Oirr

12/1 Bodhisattva, Cadell


Edinburgh National 3m 7f

8 past renewals

Some have good race history


MAGNA SAM won in 2023 + 2025

He is now a 12 year old though

Had just 1 bad race in 9 months


INIS OIRR won this race in 2024

Fell at the first in last years race

ROCK MY WAY is topweight

May not be easy carrying 12st


No past winner of this race

Carried 11st 8lbs or more

ROCK MY WAY fails this


Go back to 1997

January and February

Every handicap chase

Any class

Any distance

During these months

Every horse of any age

Coming from the Welsh National

Running in the last 41 days

Have a 0-37 record in them all

ROCK MY WAY fails this angle


CADELL has plenty of weight

He pulled up on his latest run


Horses with over 23 career runs

Have a 0-37 record in this race

The following horses fail this


MAGNA SAM

GROZNI

BODHISATTVA

INIS OIRR


BODHISATTVA is underaced


GROZNI an exposed 10yo

Has 8 weeks off after a victory


Go back to 1997

Handicap Chases

Run over 3m 4f and more

Any time of year

Any class of race

Horses with over 28 runs

Winning last time out

Absent over 33 days

Have a 0-33 record in them

GROZNI fails this statistic


FORGED WELL is a 7yo

He has just 3 chase starts

That is not a major problem

The 2021 winner had 3 chases

The 2024 winner had 4 chases

He has to prove his stamina

Sire has no winners past 3m 2f


TRANSMISSION is a 9yo

He comes from an unsafe sire

Horses sired by Doyen

Running in class 2 or higher

Have not won a race past 3m 2f (0-15)


Horses sired by Doyen

Running in class 6 or higher

Absent more than 33 days

Have not won a race past 3m 1f (0-33)


INIS OIRR


Fails my exposure stat

But not by that much


They say "not running well"


Think that's debatable


He had a bad day at Musselburgh

But his last 2 runs over hurdles

Could easily have been prep races

Ran ok in both when unfancied

If he gets in a rhythm

He should be handicapped to win

His stable do well in this race

Best pedigree in the race as well


Of course he is very risky


But he faces some negatives


And some doubtful stayers


MAGNA SAM is a non runner


Thats killed an each way bet


Going in this direction



Selection


£8.00 Win Bet INIS OIRR 10/1-11/1


£2.00 Win Bet FORGED WELL 4/1-9/2

1/5 Odds


1-2-3



Leopardstown 3.20


10/11 Lossiemouth, 13/8 Brighterdaysahead

8/1 Anzadam, 10/1 El Fabiolo, 14/1 Poniros

40/1 Casheldale Lad


Irish Champion Hurdle


Williue Mullins runs 4


LOSSIEMOUTH on prices

Looks the stable number 1

Happy to go along with that


EL FABIOLO is a 9 year old

None won since Hurricane Fly


PONIROS is too young aged 5


BRIGHTERDAYSAHEAD


Looks the biggest danger

She is far less exposed

Having had 11 hurdle runs


LOSSIEMOUTH has 16

Not sure how significant that is

You can argue it is not a positive


But you can take another position

LOSSIEMOUTH of the two of them

Has had an extra race this season

On heavy ground that could turn it

Thats the angle I considered best


Watched their clash last time out

LOSSIEMOUTH won quite cosily

She is much stronger in the market


Close call both the same age

Both have the same official rating

Marginal vote to the Mullins horse


Selection


LOSSIEMOUTH 10/11-1/1


Win Bet


Leopardstown 3.52


9/2 I Started A Joke, 11/2 Murcia, 7/1 A Dream To Share

7/1 Bowensonfire, 10/1 Bunting, 14/1 Kotkito Bello

14/1 Lord Erskine, 14/1 Sea Of Sands, 16/1 Balko d'Ange

16/1 Hello Neighbour, Sony Bill, Zillow, 20/1 Blue Lemons

20/1 Pinot Gris, 22/1 Putapoundinthejar, 22/1 Tatateo

25/1 Ain't Got Wings, Kalix Delabarriere, Sainte Lucie

33/1 Kimi De Mai.


Handicap Hurdle 2m


Horses rated 0-148


The Class horse won in 2023


The oldest horse won in 2024


A Maiden hurdler won in 2025


Not sure what to expect this time


I STARTED A JOKE


Strongly fancied favourite

A 7yo from a maiden hurdle


Go back to 2008

Leopardstown

Handicap Hurdles

Any distance

Any time of year

Class 2 and higher

Horses aged 7 or more

From a novice or maiden hurdle

With under 6 hurdle races

Return a 0-23 record

None of them have won

I STARTED A JOKE fails this


Not a strong angle

But none won like him

And his price is very skinny


This is a clearer angle


Go back to 2003

Handicap Hurdles

Listed and Graded class

Any course

Any distance

Any time of year

Horses aged 7 or more

From a novice or maiden hurdle

Running within 5 months

With under 10 career starts

Return a 0-66 record

I STARTED A JOKE fails this

Past renewals show

Horses aged 8 or older

Absent more than 15 days

Have a 0-85 record in this

Several outsiders fail this


SEA OF SANDS does too

A DREAM TO SHARE does


Go back to 2007

Handicap Hurdles over 2m

Listed and Graded class

Any time of the year

Horses aged 8 or older

Under 34 career starts

Under 8 hurdle starts

Running in the last 5 months

Return a 0-113 record

A DREAM TO SHARE fails this

HELLO NEIGHBOUR is rejected

Do not want the topweight here


TATATEO is out from a novice


All 15 past winners

Ran within the last 69 days

Opposing those who dont


PUTPOUNDINTHEJAR

KALIX DELABARRIERE

SONY BILL

LORD ESKINE

PINOT GRIS


KIMI DE MAI unsafe as a mare


Past winners hurdle runs

9 13 10 8 5 5 11 7 3 9 6 3

Horse with over 13 hurdles

Absent more than 15 days

Have a 0-43 record in this

BOWENSONFIRE fails this


The following look underraced


MUCIA

BLUE LEMONS

SAINTE LUCIE


BALKO D'ANGE has a chance


ZILLOW has a small chance

But beaten a long way last time

And down the stable pecking order


KOTKITO BELLO has a chance

But he has just landed a hat trick

Gone up a lot in the weights now

And has over 6 weeks absence


BUNTING


He ran just after Christmas

In a high class race at this track

Which has been a fair trial race

BUNTING was underaced

Trying to win with 79 days off

He should strip much fitter


Selection

BUNTING 7/1-15/2


Each Way


1/5 Odds


1-2-3-4-5

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© 2002 By HRR

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